{"id":1439,"date":"2020-09-03T06:46:03","date_gmt":"2020-09-02T22:46:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fkfzb.com\/?p=1439"},"modified":"2022-09-23T17:38:08","modified_gmt":"2022-09-23T09:38:08","slug":"kelly-betting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fkfzb.com\/kelly-betting\/","title":{"rendered":"\u73a9\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u9810\u6e2c\u8d70\u52e2\u5168\u9760\u51f1\u5229\u6ce8\u78bc\uff1f\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u5165\u9580\u5fc5\u5b78\u653b\u7565\uff01"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\u81ea\u5f9e 2022 \u5e74 1 \u6708\u958b\u59cb\u66f4\u65b0\u5f8c\uff0c\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u300a\u760b\u73a9\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02<\/a><\/strong>\u300b\u7684\u7db2\u53cb\u6703\u770b\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02<\/a><\/strong>\u512a\u52e2\u7684\u73a9\u5bb6\u8aee\u8a62\u6211\u5011\uff0c\u8981\u6e96\u5099\u591a\u5c11\u8cc7\u91d1\u624d\u5920\u73a9\uff1f\u8981\u4e0b\u6ce8\u7684\u554f\u984c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u65b7\u6709\u4eba\u554f\uff1f\u8981\u591a\u4e45\u80fd\u6709\u6536\u7a6b\uff1f\u9019\u4e9b\u554f\u984c\u81ea\u5df1\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0c\u91cd\u8907\u985e\u4f3c\u554f\u984c\u53ef\u53c3\u8003\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f80\u6211\u5011\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u5537\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u6703\u554f\u6211\u9019\u4e9b\u7591\u554f\uff0c\u986f\u9732\u529f\u529b\u4e0d\u62b5\u5bb6\uff01\u53ea\u6703\u7b97 EV \u78ba\u4e0d\u6703\u7d93\u7ba1\u8cc7\u91d1\uff0c\u53ea\u77e5\u5176\u7136\u6b8a\u4e0d\u77e5\u5176\u56e0\u6b64\u7136\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u8aaa\u771f\u7684\uff0c\u5728 2021\u5e74\u61c2\u5f97\u638c\u63e1\u5c40\u52e2\u5927\u6b0a\u7684\u73a9\u5bb6\u8cc7\u91d1\u7d93\u7ba1\uff0c\u975e\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u3001\u4e5f\u975e\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\u3001\u66f4\u4e0d\u662f\u7d93\u7ba1\u5b78\u3001\u800c\u662f\u6578\u5b78\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uff08\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u7db2\u8def\u4e0a\u6700\u71b1\u9580\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce<\/a>\u6709\u54ea\u5e7e\u9593\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c3\u8003\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\uff1a\u7db2\u8def\u4e0a\u5e74\u5ea6\u6700\u65b0100\u5bb6\u7dda\u4e0a\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce\u63a8\u85a6\u6e05\u55ae\u5927\u516c\u958b\uff01<\/strong><\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u4e00\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u6211\u554f\u4e00\u500b\u975e\u5e38\u7c21\u7565\u7684\u7591\u554f\uff0c\u6709\u751a\u9ebc\u6ce8\u78bc\u6cd5\uff0c\u80fd\u8b93\u4f60\u5c31\u7b97\u4e00\u76f4\u8655\u65bc\u8f38\u5bb6\uff0c\u4e5f\u59cb\u7d42\u4e0d\u6703\u7834\u7522\u7684\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u8acb\u6b63\u5728\u770b\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u59b3\u5011\uff0c\u8a8d\u771f\u601d\u8003 1 \u5206\u9418\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4f86\u516c\u4f48\u5167\u5bb9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u7b54\u6848\u662f\u5373\u662f\u7528\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e0b\u6ce8\uff0c\u5c31\u59cb\u7d42\u4e0d\u6703\u7834\u7522\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u8209\u4f8b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n \u6211\u6bcf\u6b21\u90fd\u4e0b\u6211\u7e3d\u8cc7\u91d1\u7684 10 %\uff0c\u82e5\u8f38\u4e86\uff0c\u6211\u5c31\u6295\u6ce8\u5269\u4e0b\u7684 90 % \u7684 10 %\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u8f38\u5e7e\u8a31\u6b21\u4e0d\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u6211\u59cb\u7d42\u90fd\u7559\u4e0b\u6211\u524d\u6b21\u4e0b\u6ce8\u4ee5\u524d\u7684 90 %\uff0c\u59cb\u7d42\u90fd\u9084\u6703\u5269\u4e0b\u9322\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u7576\u4eca\u7684\u7591\u554f\u5373\u662f\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u8981\u4e0b\u7e3d\u8cc7\u672c\u7684\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u5e7e\u6700\u4f73\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n \u73a9 2 \u624b\uff0c\u8f38\u4e00\u6b21\u8d0f\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u6211\u7528 10 %\u4e0b\u6ce8\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u5148\u8f38\uff08\u5269\u4e0b 90 %\uff0c\u518d\u4e0b 10 % \u4e5f\u662f 90 % * 10 % = 9 %\uff09\u518d\u8d0f\uff0890 % + 9 %\uff09\uff0c\u9084\u662f\u5148\u8d0f\uff08\u5269\u4e0b 110 %\uff0c\u518d\u4e0b 110 % \u7684 10 % = 11 %\uff09\u518d\u8f38\uff08110 % – 11 %\uff09\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u5269\u4e0b 99 %\uff0c\u516c\u5f0f\u662f\uff081 + 10 %\uff09*\uff081 – 10 %\uff09= 99 % \u640d\u5931\u4e86 1 % \u7684\u672c\u91d1\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u73a9 200 \u624b\u4e5f\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u8f38 100 \u6b21\u8d0f 100 \u6b21\uff0c\u7528 10 %\u4e0b\u6ce8\uff0c\uff081 + 10 %\uff09^ 100 * ( 1 – 10 %\uff09^ 100 = 36.6 % \u640d\u5931\u4e8665.4% \u7684\u672c\u91d1\uff01\u73a9\u8d8a\u591a\u624b\uff0c\u8f38\u7684\u8d8a\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u9019\u500b\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02<\/a><\/strong>\u904a\u6232\u4ecb\u7d39\uff0c\u61c9\u7528\u59cb\u7d42\u4e0d\u6703\u7834\u7522\u7684\u6ce8\u78bc\uff0c\u56fa\u7136\u59cb\u7d42\u4e5f\u8f38\u4e0d\u5b8c\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u5c31\u7b97\u73a9\u4e00\u500b\u4e0d\u8f38\u4e0d\u8d0f\u7684\u904a\u6232\uff0c\u4e5f\u6703\u4e00\u76f4\u8d8a\u8f38\u8d8a\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u9678\u7e8c\u6211\u5011\u5718\u968a\u4f86\u73a9\u4e00\u500b+EV\u7684\u904a\u6232\uff0c\u8d0f\u7684\u6703\u6bd4\u8f38\u7684\u591a\uff0c+1 % \u7684\u904a\u6232\uff0c\u5373\u662f 200 \u624b\u5167\u90e8\u8d0f 101 \u624b\u8f38 99 \u624b\u7684\u610f\u7fa9\uff0c\u5047\u8a2d\u7d42\u4e0d\u6703\u7834\u7522\u7684\u6ce8\u78bc\u4f86\u6253\uff0c\u6703\u4e0d\u6703\u8d0f\u5229\u5462\uff1f\u7559\u7d66\u59b3\u5011\u601d\u8003\u7a7a\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u73a9 200 \u624b\uff0c\u8f38 99 \u6b21\u8d0f 101 \u6b21\uff0c\u752810%\u4e0b\u6ce8\uff0c\uff081+10%\uff09^101 * (1-10%\uff09^99=44.7373 % \u6bd4 0 \u548c\u7684\u597d\u9ede\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4f9d\u7136\u4e0d\u6703\u8d0f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uff081+5%\uff09^101 * (1-5%\uff09^99=86.051 % \u6bd4\u4e0b10%\u597d\u591a\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \uff081+1%\uff09^101 * (1-1%\uff09^99=101.005 %<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u4e0d\u904e\u9019\u771f\u7684\u662f\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u55ce\uff1f\u6211\u5e6b\u7db2\u53cb\u8b80\u8005\u5011\u7bc0\u6e1b\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u6211\u76f4\u63a5\u628a\u4e0b\u6ce8\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8ddf\u8d0f\u5229\u5f8c\u679c\u6574\u7406\u51fa\u4f86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n 0.1% 1.001902<\/p>\n\n\n\n 0.2% 1.003606<\/p>\n\n\n\n 0.3% 1.005113<\/p>\n\n\n\n 0.4% 1.006421<\/p>\n\n\n\n 0.5% 1.007528<\/p>\n\n\n\n 0.6% 1.008435<\/p>\n\n\n\n 0.7% 1.009142<\/p>\n\n\n\n 0.8% 1.009646<\/p>\n\n\n\n 0.9% 1.009949<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1.0% 1.01005<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1.1% 1.009949<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1.2% 1.009646<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1.3% 1.009142<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1.4% 1.008435<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1.5% 1.007528<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1.6% 1.00642<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1.7% 1.005112<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1.8% 1.003605<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1.9% 1.0019<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2.0% 0.999997<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2.1% 0.997899<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2.2% 0.995605<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2.3% 0.993118<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2.4% 0.990439<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2.5% 0.987569<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2.6% 0.98451<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2.7% 0.981264<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2.8% 0.977833<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2.9% 0.974219<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3.0% 0.970424<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1. \u9762\u81e8\u8d0f 101 \u6b21 \u8f38 99 \u6b21 EV + 1 % \u7684\u904a\u6232\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u4e0b\u6ce8\u5728 0 % \u4ee5\u4e0a2 % \u5982\u4e0b\uff0c\u624d\u6703\u6709\u8d0f\u5229\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2. \u9762\u81e8\u8d0f 101 \u6b21\u8f38 99 \u6b21 EV + 1 % \u7684\u904a\u6232\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u6ce8\u78bc\u5728 1 % \u7684\u6642\u5206\uff0c\u7372\u5f97\u7684\u8d0f\u5229\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u9ad8\u7684\uff0c\u4e0b\u7684\u8d8a\u5c0f\u8cfa\u7684\u8d8a\u5c11\uff0c\u4e0b\u7684\u8d8a\u5927\u4e5f\u8cfa\u7684\u8d8a\u5c11\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3. \u6bcf\u4e0b\u6ce8\u5f8c\u90fd\u8981\u7cbe\u78ba\u7684\u8a08\u8f03\u5269\u4e0b\u7684\u8cc7\u91d1\uff0c\u56b4\u683c\u6839\u64da\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e0b\u6ce8\uff0c\u904e\u91cf\u904e\u5c11\u53ea\u6709\u4e0d\u5920\u7cbe\u78ba\uff0c\u90fd\u9091\u4f4e\u843d\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u6211\u5011\u767c\u6398 EV+ 1 % \u7684\u6642\u5206\u8981\u4e0b\u672c\u91d1\u7684 1%\u3001EV +2 % \u7684\u6642\u5206\u8981\u4e0b\u672c\u91d1\u7684 2 %\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u4e0d\u904e\u51f1\u5229\u6ce8\u78bc\u6cd5<\/strong>\u6240\u8a08\u8f03\u7684\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u8ce0\u4e00\u7684\u689d\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u5be6\u5728\u6191\u64da\u5dee\u5225\u535a\u5f08\u7684\u8ce0\u7387\u5dee\u5225\uff0c\u5be6\u5728\u4e0d\u5118\u7136\u90fd\u662f\u8ddf EV \u76f8\u50cf\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u760b\u73a9\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02<\/a><\/strong>\u8aa0\u646f\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u80fd\u5c0d\u4e0d\u61c2\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02<\/a><\/strong>\u4e0b\u6ce8\u8a08\u8b00\u7684\u521d\u5b78\u4e0a\u98a8\u7684\u73a9\u5bb6\u6709\u6240\u52a9\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u81ea\u5f9e 2022 \u5e74 1 \u6708\u958b\u59cb\u66f4\u65b0\u5f8c\uff0c\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u300a\u760b\u73a9\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u300b\u7684\u7db2\u53cb\u6703\u770b\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u512a\u52e2\u7684\u73a9\u5bb6\u8aee\u8a62\u6211\u5011\uff0c\u8981\u6e96\u5099\u591a\u5c11\u8cc7\u91d1\u624d […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3930,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,9],"tags":[2,5,3,26],"class_list":["post-1439","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-baccarat","category-baccarat-teaching","tag-baccarat","tag-baccarat-teaching","tag-baccarat-play","tag-baccarat-concept"],"yoast_head":"\n\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02<\/strong>\u5165\u9580\u8981\u5b78\u6ce8\u78bc\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
1 \u500b 0 \u548c\u7684\u904a\u6232<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
+EV \u7684\u904a\u6232<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\u5982\u679c\u4e0b 5 %<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\u5982\u679c\u4e0b 1 %<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\u767e\u5bb6\u6a02\u9810\u6e2c\u672c\u91d1\u7d50\u679c<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\u7e3d\u7d50<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n